Catch the full story tonight on 7 Eyewitness News at 11.
Cold and crazy or warm and calm, the 7 First Alert team of veteran meteorologists is breaking down what kind of winter lies ahead for western new york.
7 First Alert meteorologist Andy Parker: Looking for signs ...
One of the biggest misconceptions is that our warm fall weather must mean a ferocious winter is in the way. Andy says that fatalistic feeling is more psychological than scientific.
7 First Alert meteorologist Don Paul: Warm Lake & Lake Effect Snow
It will take more than a warm lake to get the lake effect going. Don says wind will play a major factor in determining who, where and how much lake effect snow we will get.
7 First Alert meteorologist Autumn Lewandowski: The El Nino Factor
El Nino means warmer sea surface temperatures. Autumn says this typically signifies warm and dry conditions across the Great Lakes - but this year, El Nino is in a neutral phase.
7 First Alert Chief Meteorologist Aaron Mentkowski: What can we expect
Aaron says we can expect a slow start to the winter season with temperatures staying above normal through December. But, the second half will be colder, with more snow.