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Sizable lake snows are 'off the table' for the holiday

The latest data shows less of a wintry setup and more of a wet setup for Western New York leading up to Thanksgiving Day
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BUFFALO, N.Y. (WKBW) — Do you remember Western New York's weather last year at this time? Mother Nature's snowy salvos were already taking aim on us. Through this date last year, we had already logged more than 80 inches of snow, in what many came to know as "Snow-vember, part 2".

The latest models show a much different weather pattern leading into Thanksgiving. Instead of a serious charge of chill, the pattern is evolving into more of a mild one, with a zonal flow across the nation, allowing milder Pacific air to make its way into Western New York.

Low pressure will carve a path across Ohio and into southern Ontario. Right now, it looks more wet than white, as rain ends up being the dominant precipitation type across our area with this system Tuesday. Enough cold air will be entrenched such that a wintry mix of precipitation is possible with this system, particularly through parts of the Southern Tier and Central New York, when the precipitation starts sometime later Tuesday morning. This "messy mix" will mean some tricky travel for a few through parts of the Northeast and New England leading up to Thanksgiving Day, so it's best to plan for extra time reaching your destinations, if you're traveling on Tuesday.

One thing is for certain: the hearty helping of winter weather originally to be served up by Mother Nature in these few days leading up to the holiday, is no longer "on the table".