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Aaron's Insight: Few snowflakes could fly early next week across parts of WNY

It will be cold enough for a few snow showers to develop south of Buffalo early next week.
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BUFFALO, N.Y. (WKBW) — The European Model and the Global Model are both forecasting some snow over the higher elevations south of Buffalo early next week.

The Global Model (GFS) is a little more bullish on the snow across the Southern Tier.

The ground is still too warm for any snow to stick, but a few flakes could fly across the Southern Tier late Monday into Tuesday.

  • The average first flake for Buffalo occurs on October 24.
  • The first measurable snow (0.1") is usually around November 8.
  • The first inch of snow usually occurs around November 18.
  • The earliest first flake occurred on September 20, 1956.
  • The latest first flake flew on November 22, 1946 and 1985.